14 Comments

I think that it's only a matter of time before Iran/Syria/Hezbollah get involved, and Hezbollah certainly has the ability to overwhelm the Iron Dome defense system with sheer volume. Once that happens, the Israeli home front will be vulnerable like it never has been before, and the horrific death toll on October 7th will pale in comparison. Dimona will almost certainly be targeted, as will Ben Gurion airport.

If it sounds like I think that Israel may very well lose this war (which means that it will effectively cease to exist), yes, that is my fear.

Expand full comment

Well, forgetting Israel's nuclear weapons stockpile. I doubt they will cease to exist or even allow some other actor to take them out of existence. They have nukes and will use them to preserve their existence.

Expand full comment

That's the wildcard, to be sure.

Expand full comment

Although this sounds plausible, Ian, I pray that you are wrong.

Expand full comment

News just broke today that President Biden is traveling to Israel on Wednesday. The German chancellor is heading there tomorrow. This is an interesting article on how this will more than likely pause the Israeli ground offensive and open up some small chance for negotiations.

https://open.substack.com/pub/luciantruscott/p/whats-up-with-israels-gaza-pause?r=2vk1c6&utm_medium=ios&utm_campaign=post

Expand full comment

“So I am doing my best not to fall down this rabbit hole.”

Admirable. Praiseworthy.

Am very much hoping more try to follow this example.

Expand full comment

These people are fundamentally, and at their core, anti-white bigots. Ignoring centuries of Islamic and Arab imperialism is what their entire outlook rests on. Only “white” people engaged in colonialism and imperialism. The far left, at its core , has become racist.

Expand full comment

That prototype Xpanceo headset looks an awful lot like the headset in “Brainstorm”. Also appreciated your observation that every nation has oppressed, conquered, committed war crimes against other nations, for thousands of years. 🤔😉😊

Expand full comment

It's, unfortunately, one of the reasons fights like those in the Middle East go on forever. Go back far enough and everyone has a claim to the land at one point.

England, for example, was largely controlled by Danes, Romans, Anglo-Saxons (Germanic), Normans various points in its history. So arguably "It belongs to us!" claims could be made by all sorts of people depending on how far back you went.

Silly? Certainly. But try to tell that to the people in and around "the holy lands".

Expand full comment

Using that logic, Ukraine was not an independent state until 1991, when they declared their independence from Russia. So Russia’s claim that it belongs to us doesn’t need to go back too far at all.

Expand full comment

This is my point. Today that land is Ukrainian. Go back 32 years and that land was Russian. Go back X years and that land was _______. And on forever.

I’d make a distinction between “We were here and decided to break from the mother country” (American revolution, break up of Soviet Union) where the residents decided and “We were here and you invaded” (Ukraine today, Palestine) where outsiders came in by force.

But the claim that a land belongs to someone because in some distant past it did is a weak one.

Expand full comment

I agree entirely. Sorry for the confusion.

Expand full comment

No worries. Didn’t take it as disagreement. 🙂

Expand full comment