I'm just glad that after 2morrow this endless campaigning will finally END! IAM SO SICK OF POLITICS!! This isn't healthy! We need to get back to normal where elections end governing BEGINS!!✌️🌊🤍❤️
Looks like we both read the dizzying Washington Post 11-minute article on "how can polls be accurate when nobody answers their phone". I've been commenting on the lack of credibility among ANY poll in the modern era, and the article had stats to back it up. It used to take 1 in 3 calls on a landline to get someone to answer -- now it's more than 134 calls. But then the article's math got dicey, because they still can't screen quality of responses. Think about the type of people willingly sitting down to join a focus group at the mall, or talk to someone with a clipboard, or answer an ominous text or unknown number phone call. I'm guessing the same type of people who relentlessly call into CSPAN or AM Talk Radio -- people desperate to be heard. Ironic, I know, coming from me, a prolific commenter on the Banter -- but this forum affords the luxury of anonymity. WHO KNOWS who really is behind any given text, phone call, or clipboard survey. You're giving up valuable information that could be used against you. Do you really want the MAGA camp or Russians knowing you're a diehard Harris supporter? Imagine what they can do with that info whether or not he wins? Polls are garbage. All of them. You can't call an election like a play by play in Football. My biggest fear tomorrow is the Dark Web/Proud Boys militia organizing that might deploy select terrorist attacks at polling stations to intimidate Democratic turnout. That seems like a VERY realistic possibility and I can't imagine every governor has their National Guard ready to deploy like mine does.
Vermont is an outlier in the split ticket is very rare position. We keep electing a republican governor and the down tickets are mostly democrats and independents.
I think your sources are sound. I listen to many of the same but mainly to confirm what I see. I travel for work all over the country including thousands of road miles including some swing states (AZ, PA, NC). On a recent 300 mile drive through rural Missouri I did not see a singled trump sign. Not one! I see more Trump paraphernalia in Oregon than in PA or AZ. Not a scientific method but its a data point.
Further, I refuse to believe that the majority of this country is on board with Trump. Moreover, I do not see the country he whines and bitches about anywhere.
It is possible that through social media and the massive failure of the mainstream media enough people got brainwashed but the algorithms tend to send you things you agree with and a lot fewer people agree with having their rights taken away or being bamboozled by an obnoxious billionaire..
I expect a decisive result tomorrow night and the crying of a whiny little bitch. That I will savor! Champaign is on ice.
I've been saying for 2 years now I don't belive in polls but I do believe in election results. In 35+ special elections since 2022 the Democratic candidate has outperformed exp[ectations and won over 80% of them. I have no reason to believe today will be different. My only question is can the Democrats hold the Senate. That I'm worried about.
Let me just say, women don't always tell men what they are thinking and doing, and half the time if we DO tell them they talk over us and don't listen. And women over 60--the very ones whose work and passion and anger fueled and built the second wave feminist movement that has transformed modern society? We are invisible to men. We could probably rob banks like ninjas and never get caught.
Instead, though, we've spent the past 2 years organizing and working our butts off. We are the core of the Democratic grassroots army that's about to give MAGA the trouncing they've been asking for.
You're welcome, America. Now give us our fucking Equal Rights Amendment.
Excellent analysis. I’ve been reading the same people as well as campaign pros here in DC. The latter are far more confident in private. The consensus from what I’m hearing is 300-335 electoral votes on the exuberant end. I wouldn’t be shocked if she hit 325.
I really wish your projection for tomorrow's election is accurate, Ben. We cannot afford another term under this would-be dictator who demans his poltical enemies, vowing vengeance against them, if he is elevated to another term in office. There will be nothing done for another four years if he's elected. Significant progress on climate change and other social agendas will be lost under a second Dump term. Not to mention the many scandals that will arise as an outcome of a second Dump term. What's even worse is if Dump is declared incompetent under the 25th Amendment, we have JD Vance as president. That's a worse scenario to envision if this does happen anytime during his four years of non-governing. How this race could be so close is still beyond me, given how much we know already about the repugnican candidate who should have been disqualified right after January 6.
So I will be watching the election results tomorrow with a lot of trepidation, but with some hope that millions of women - and their many supporters - will send Dump to the dustbin of history.
I'm just glad that after 2morrow this endless campaigning will finally END! IAM SO SICK OF POLITICS!! This isn't healthy! We need to get back to normal where elections end governing BEGINS!!✌️🌊🤍❤️
Looks like we both read the dizzying Washington Post 11-minute article on "how can polls be accurate when nobody answers their phone". I've been commenting on the lack of credibility among ANY poll in the modern era, and the article had stats to back it up. It used to take 1 in 3 calls on a landline to get someone to answer -- now it's more than 134 calls. But then the article's math got dicey, because they still can't screen quality of responses. Think about the type of people willingly sitting down to join a focus group at the mall, or talk to someone with a clipboard, or answer an ominous text or unknown number phone call. I'm guessing the same type of people who relentlessly call into CSPAN or AM Talk Radio -- people desperate to be heard. Ironic, I know, coming from me, a prolific commenter on the Banter -- but this forum affords the luxury of anonymity. WHO KNOWS who really is behind any given text, phone call, or clipboard survey. You're giving up valuable information that could be used against you. Do you really want the MAGA camp or Russians knowing you're a diehard Harris supporter? Imagine what they can do with that info whether or not he wins? Polls are garbage. All of them. You can't call an election like a play by play in Football. My biggest fear tomorrow is the Dark Web/Proud Boys militia organizing that might deploy select terrorist attacks at polling stations to intimidate Democratic turnout. That seems like a VERY realistic possibility and I can't imagine every governor has their National Guard ready to deploy like mine does.
Vermont is an outlier in the split ticket is very rare position. We keep electing a republican governor and the down tickets are mostly democrats and independents.
Don’t be nervous - but get out and VOTE!
Spot on!
0 for 1.
I think your sources are sound. I listen to many of the same but mainly to confirm what I see. I travel for work all over the country including thousands of road miles including some swing states (AZ, PA, NC). On a recent 300 mile drive through rural Missouri I did not see a singled trump sign. Not one! I see more Trump paraphernalia in Oregon than in PA or AZ. Not a scientific method but its a data point.
Further, I refuse to believe that the majority of this country is on board with Trump. Moreover, I do not see the country he whines and bitches about anywhere.
It is possible that through social media and the massive failure of the mainstream media enough people got brainwashed but the algorithms tend to send you things you agree with and a lot fewer people agree with having their rights taken away or being bamboozled by an obnoxious billionaire..
I expect a decisive result tomorrow night and the crying of a whiny little bitch. That I will savor! Champaign is on ice.
I've been saying for 2 years now I don't belive in polls but I do believe in election results. In 35+ special elections since 2022 the Democratic candidate has outperformed exp[ectations and won over 80% of them. I have no reason to believe today will be different. My only question is can the Democrats hold the Senate. That I'm worried about.
What happened? You’re clueless and have lost touch with reality.
Let me just say, women don't always tell men what they are thinking and doing, and half the time if we DO tell them they talk over us and don't listen. And women over 60--the very ones whose work and passion and anger fueled and built the second wave feminist movement that has transformed modern society? We are invisible to men. We could probably rob banks like ninjas and never get caught.
Instead, though, we've spent the past 2 years organizing and working our butts off. We are the core of the Democratic grassroots army that's about to give MAGA the trouncing they've been asking for.
You're welcome, America. Now give us our fucking Equal Rights Amendment.
Excellent analysis. I’ve been reading the same people as well as campaign pros here in DC. The latter are far more confident in private. The consensus from what I’m hearing is 300-335 electoral votes on the exuberant end. I wouldn’t be shocked if she hit 325.
I’m glad you’re amused. We’ll see how amused you are in a year when this economy is wreckage. Now go screw yourself.
I don’t know one man who is voting for Trump.
I really wish your projection for tomorrow's election is accurate, Ben. We cannot afford another term under this would-be dictator who demans his poltical enemies, vowing vengeance against them, if he is elevated to another term in office. There will be nothing done for another four years if he's elected. Significant progress on climate change and other social agendas will be lost under a second Dump term. Not to mention the many scandals that will arise as an outcome of a second Dump term. What's even worse is if Dump is declared incompetent under the 25th Amendment, we have JD Vance as president. That's a worse scenario to envision if this does happen anytime during his four years of non-governing. How this race could be so close is still beyond me, given how much we know already about the repugnican candidate who should have been disqualified right after January 6.
So I will be watching the election results tomorrow with a lot of trepidation, but with some hope that millions of women - and their many supporters - will send Dump to the dustbin of history.
Hard agree on all of this.